Retail & Ecommerce


eMarketer junior forecasting analyst Nazmul Islam and principal analyst Andrew Lipsman tell us the likelihood that your food delivery driver has eaten some of your meal. How are people using food delivery apps, and how can they make the unit economics work for everyone?

Since Instagram rolled out its Checkout feature earlier this year, brands have begun linking influencer content to shopping tools as a way to drive—and measure—direct sales. Should the platform hide likes from public view, which it began testing in the US this week, influencer marketers could be forced to look beyond vanity metrics to more advanced measurement tools, including social commerce and in-store purchase behavior.

Despite healthy consumer spending overall in 2019, the upcoming holiday season will be affected by economic uncertainty and a shorter timeframe. (This year has six fewer days between Thanksgiving and Christmas than in 2018.)

As some traditional brands and retailers flounder, a host of direct-to-consumer (D2C) brands have risen to capture US shoppers’ imagination—and an increasing share of their wallets. Many of these challenger brands haven’t yet leaned into holiday marketing like their established counterparts. But with continued business momentum, the ability to make marketing investments and expanded physical presences, this year should see additional emphasis.

In 2019, we estimate that 577.4 million people in China made a purchase via proximity mobile payment within a six-month period. Those users account for 49.6% of the country’s population. Next year, more than half of the population will utilize this payment method, with that figure rising to 60.5% in 2023.

eMarketer vice president of forecasting Monica Peart walks through our latest ad spend numbers for Google, Facebook and Amazon.

If Amazon is poised to gain share in the first half of the final week before Christmas, click-and-collect orders will tip the scales in the direction of big-box merchants during the second half of that week.

Consumers’ desire for affordability and convenience has bolstered demand for online grocery. And as heavy hitters continue to roll out offerings—like Walmart's buy online pick up in-store (BOPUS) and "InHome Delivery" options, as well as Amazon's "Key for Garage" and same-day shipping—their respective double-digit growth speaks for itself.

This year, consumers will have six fewer days to shop this holiday between Thanksgiving and Christmas. Even more surprisingly, only one in three are aware of the impending calendar crunch, according to July 2019 data from RetailMeNot.

As with video viewing, digital technology has taken a large role in teens’ shopping without altogether replacing older methods. We estimate that 61.8% of 14- to 17-year-olds in the US will be digital buyers next year. Though substantial, that’s lower than the penetration rates of all other age groups younger than 65.

eMarketer junior analyst Blake Droesch, principal analyst Andrew Lipsman and junior forecasting analyst Nazmul Islam explain how Americans’ social media behaviors are changing, whether teens are more likely to use TikTok vs. Facebook, the impact of Tumblr’s “Group Chats” and the likely popularity of Twitter’s new “Topics” feature.

A pioneer in smart card technology, France was the first country worldwide to introduce chip-and-PIN payment cards. Now, contactless cards are also widely available, but that has held back adoption of mobile payment alternatives.

Peer-to-peer (P2P) payments are increasing significantly in the US, driven by tremendous growth from Venmo and Zelle. eMarketer’s latest estimates show that P2P mobile transactions will total $309.95 billion this year, growing 27.9% to hit $396.48 billion in 2020.

eMarketer vice president of forecasting Monica Peart guest-hosts a discussion on the 2019 holiday shopping season, featuring principal analyst Andrew Lipsman, senior forecasting analyst Cindy Liu and forecasting analyst Vincent Yip.

In a record year for US retail store closures, dollar stores are thriving. Not only are major players opening a significant number of new locations, but more consumers are regularly shopping for groceries at dollar stores than any other time in the past five years. But dollar stores, which have been praised as survivors of the ongoing retail apocalypse, could face new pressure from Amazon come 2020.

Apple Pay’s dominance and increasing store adoption of mobile proximity payment technology is driving growth in transaction volume in the US, new eMarketer estimates show. This year, we estimate that mobile proximity payment transactions will total $98.88 billion this year, growing another 31.8% to $130.36 billion next year.

The UK is a nation of digitally advanced consumers. However, it lags behind many other countries we track when it comes to proximity mobile payments. No other country comes remotely close to China’s rate of penetration among smartphone users—81.1% vs. just 19.1% in the UK. But whereas the UK tends to come somewhere toward the top of most lists of digital adoption, in this case it falls toward the bottom of the “moderate adoption” bucket according to our adoption categorizations, below the likes of Indonesia and Italy.

For the first time, a generic mobile payment app is more popular than the Starbucks mobile app, which had long led the category despite being specific to one retailer. Apple Pay became the market leader last year, when 27.7 million Americans used the app to make a purchase.

Traditionally, organizations haven’t viewed the customer experience as a singular thing owned by one particular person or department. That’s changed, as brands have worked to put customers at the forefront—and it’s given modern CMOs new importance as owners of that experience.